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US stocks rose as traders took in slightly cooler inflation figures. Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-per-year in April, down from the prior month's 3.5% increase. Still, investors have muted expectations for Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders took in the latest inflation report, which showed prices cooled slightly in April. Falling inflation has fueled some hope the Fed is set to issue several interest rate cuts this year, which is bullish for stocks.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Sonu Varghese Organizations: Service, Treasury, Asset Management, Traders, Carson Group
The US economy is still firing on all cylinders despite slowing GDP growth in the first quarter. "The workhorse of the US economy remains the consumer, and there's really not much sign of a slowdown," Varghese said. AdvertisementThe US economy is firing on all cylinders despite a slowdown in first-quarter GDP growth, according to Carson Group global macro strategist Sonu Varghese. These are the five indicators that give Varghese confidence that the US consumer, and therefore the US economy, remains on solid footing. Income growth is outpacing inflationDespite elevated inflation, wage growth continues to outpace inflation growth, and that's ultimately a boon for consumers.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, there's, Varghese, that's, That's, " Varghese, here's Organizations: Carson, Carson Group
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 212 points, or 0.55%. S&P 500 futures rose nearly 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced about 0.5%. In extended trading, Apple advanced more than 6% after it announced a $110 billion share repurchase and a top -and bottom-line beat. The S&P 500 popped 0.91%, while the Dow gained 0.85%. The S&P 500 is off by 0.7% week to date, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.6%.
Persons: Cloudflare, Dow, Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Biotech Amgen, Dow, Carson Group Locations: New York City, U.S
To guard against stubborn inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates, investors should focus on quality companies with high pricing power and adjust their duration risk in bonds, according to Wall Street strategists and portfolio managers. Pricing power Companies with high pricing power tend to outperform when inflation is elevated because they have the ability to defend their profit margins by passing along higher costs to their end market customers. "In equities, you should prefer companies that have pricing power, i.e. "When inflation is the predominant risk in markets, correlations between stocks and traditional bonds tend to be high. BlackRock's iShares strategy team recently argued that investors should take advantage of spikes in bond yields while they can and reinvest their cash.
Persons: Stocks, Brad Conger, Sonu Varghese, Jason Pride, Pride, Rick Rieder Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Callaghan, Co, Big Tech, Carson Group, Securities, U.S ., Glenmede Trust Locations: Hirtle, BlackRock
Investors had lately been hoping the Fed might start easing back on policy starting in June, with three rate cuts penciled in for the year. But a robust labor market, as reflected in last week's March payrolls, and this latest consumer inflation data have pushed back that view. Markets now anticipate the first cut might come in September, with just two quarter-point reductions for the whole year. Even so, investors anticipate that markets may be able to take fewer rate cuts in stride so long as the Fed isn't actually forced to raise rates. Varghese still leans toward equities, expecting as many as three rate cuts this year, though he anticipates the first cut might not come until July now.
Persons: Federal Reserve doesn't, Stocks, isn't, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, Powell, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group, CPI
The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. U.S. stock futures fell across the board Sunday night as Wall Street looked toward several mega-cap tech earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 86 points, or 0.2%. This week marks the busiest week of the earnings season, with 19% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings. Traders in the fed funds futures market assigned an almost 97% probability the Fed will not cut rates at the upcoming meeting, according to the CME Group.
Persons: Dow Jones, Tesla, Sonu Varghese Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dow, Boeing, Merck, Federal, Traders, CME, Carson Group Locations: New York City, . U.S
India airlifted a high-powered drilling machine to assist in the rescue of dozens of road workers trapped underground. “The vertical drilling will disturb the rock formation and will cause vibrations to the mountain,” said Sundriyal, who is considered an expert in local rock formations. “However, it is difficult to say which one of the two methods would help us reach the trapped workers first,” he told reporters Monday. But for most of the families of the trapped men, the wait has been an agonizing switch between hope and despair. One of the trapped workers can be seen on camera.
Persons: Mahmood Ahmed, Yaspal, , Sundriyal, Harpal Singh, Mahi Shah, Sonu, Shah, ” Shah, ” Krishna Chauhan, Manjeet, Chauhan, ” Chauhan, Narendra Modi’s Char, Anrold Dix, ” Dix, Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Engineers, Authorities, India’s Ministry of, Highways, Garhwal, CNN, Roads Organization, Indian, Ministry of Environment, Locations: New Delhi, India’s, Uttarakhand, India, Garhwal University, Uttarakhand Government, Bihar, Mumbai, Mizoram, Morbi, Gujarat, Australian
Soneva Fushi, a resort on the private Kunfunadhoo Island in the Maldives, has spent years working to eradicate these pests. Soneva has partnered with the Germany-based company Biogents, which has developed mosquito traps that rely on environmentally friendly attractants. A Biogents-created mosquito trap at Soneva Fushi Courtesy Soneva FushiWhat’s more, these techniques are typically only useful for eliminating adult mosquitoes. An overwater bungalow at Soneva Fushi Sandro Bruecklmeier/Courtesy Soneva FushiThe pest-combatting program has been a success, according to Soneva. The resort chain has gifted mosquito traps to Parliament in Malé, the country’s capital, and trained staffers on how to use them.
Persons: Soneva, , , Arnfinn Oines, Oines, Fushi Sandro Bruecklmeier, Fushi, Sonu, Eva Shivdasani, Soneva Jani Organizations: CNN Locations: Maldives, Germany, GAT, Kunfunadhoo, Malé, Medhufaru, Noonu
Two recession indicators are on the verge of flashing as the unemployment rate ticks higher and the yield curve uninverts. "With labor supply increasing, we're not sure the Sahm rule, even if it triggers, would really be indicative of a recession." AdvertisementAdvertisementThere are two recession indicators that are on the verge of flashing, but even if they do flash stock market investors can rest easy. Last month, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9%, up 50 basis points from its cycle low of 3.4% in April. "That's why a small increase in the unemployment rate can be really bad news, because it keeps going," she explained.
Persons: we're, , Carson, Sonu Varghese, Sahm, Claudia Sahm, Varghese Organizations: Service, CNBC, Treasury
“This is mildly concerning but for now, these are still strong numbers,” said Sonu Varghese, chief market strategist at Carson Group, an asset management firm. The October numbers may have been held down because the survey was taken during major work stoppages — notably the strikes by the United Automobile Workers and related layoffs. has reached tentative contract agreements with the three major U.S. automakers and told striking members to return to their jobs. Some 96,000 people reported being out of work because of a strike or labor dispute in October, the most since 1997. But she added that unemployment would have to tick higher over a longer horizon for it to be clear that recession risks were heightened.
Persons: , Sonu Varghese, Claudia Sahm Organizations: Carson Group, United Automobile Workers, Federal Reserve
U.S. Job Growth Slows
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Matthew Cullen | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The number was lower than experts had projected, and it signaled a cooling in the economy, but it remained not far off from the monthly job growth that the U.S. was experiencing before the pandemic. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9 percent from 3.8 percent in September. In addition, the previous two jobs reports were revised downward by a total of more than 100,000. “This is mildly concerning but for now, these are still strong numbers,” said Sonu Varghese, a market strategist at Carson Group. The signs of recent cooling reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would hold off on further interest rate increases.
Persons: , Sonu Varghese Organizations: Carson Group, United Automobile Workers, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
A quick-and-easy test is to look for two items, said Sonu Shivdasani, founder of Soneva and Six Senses hotel brands. First, sustainable hotels should not have branded water of any sort, he told CNBC Travel. "Governments can create the context, but businesses need to make the change," Shivdasani told CNBC Travel. Source: SonevaShivdasani said he decided to institute a guest environmental levy after the company measured its "scope 3" emissions. Shivdasani said that after Soneva determined that 85% of its carbon emissions were "scope 3" emissions, the company introduced the 2% carbon levy.
Persons: Sonu Shivdasani, Soneva, Shivdasani, that's, It's, it's, Eva, Soneva Shivdasani, Kelvin Law Organizations: CNBC Travel, Nanyang Technological University, CNA, Soneva, World Health Organization Locations: Maldives, Thailand, British, India, Myanmar, Darfur, Sudan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIs your hotel sustainable? Not if these two things are in your roomSoneva founder Sonu Shivdasani said "sustainable" hotels shouldn't offer branded water or toiletries in plastic bottles, at a minimum.
Persons: Sonu Shivdasani
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Businesses need to make the change:' Soneva founder on environmental fees at his resortsSonu Shivdasani on why Soneva resorts instituted a 2% environmental levy in 2008 and how much money its generated in the 15 years since.
Persons: Sonu Shivdasani
One of the biggest risks to the stock market and economy is a gasoline price shock, according to Carson Group's Sonu Varghese. Gas prices are already up 23% year to date, and a further rise could reaccelerate inflation. His big worry is that surging gas prices can have a negative knock-on effect on the broader economy. That's because higher gas prices at the pump weigh heavily on consumer sentiment and can lead to curtailed spending. While he remains bullish on the outlook for the stock market and economy, he does worry that another gasoline price shock could serve as a big headwind for investors and consumers.
Persons: Carson Group's Sonu Varghese, Sonu Varghese, that's, Varghese, there's Organizations: Service, Carson Group, Energy Information Administration, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russia, Ukraine, Louisiana
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also both hovered around 0.1% higher. The moves followed a third consecutive winning session on Wall Street as investors made up some ground at the end of the month. The S&P 500 rose about 1.5%, notching its best performance since June. The Nasdaq Composite is poised to end August 2.8% lower, while the Dow and S&P 500 are both slated for drops of around 2%. Jobless claims numbers are due Thursday, followed by data on nonfarm payrolls, wages and the unemployment rate on Friday.
Persons: Dow, Tuesday's, Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Brown, Forman, Daniel's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Conference, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Treasury, Federal, Carson Group, Dow Locations: New York City
Corporate bankruptcy filings have surged so far this year, already eclipsing the number of bankruptcies in 2022. But there are three reasons why bankruptcy filings aren't as scary as they sound, according to Carson Group. But according to Varghese, there are three reasons why investors shouldn't panic about the recent uptick in bankruptcy filings. But bond investors — even those who buy below-investment-grade debt — have not shown signs of worry. "Bond investors typically sniff out hard economic times for companies well ahead of other investors.
Persons: it's, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, , Banks Organizations: Carson Group, Service, Bed, Valley Bank, Party, Treasury, Carson, Federal Reserve, Entrepreneurship Locations: Wall, Silicon
These are the three signs that suggest the economy's strength means it doesn't have to worry about sticking the landing. "Not only do we see no sign of recession, but it also doesn't even look like the economy is looking for a 'landing' at this point," Varghese said. Looking at the last three months of economic data, Varghese highlighted three data points that suggest the economy is likely to remain stronger than many expect and ultimately avoid a recession. Retail sales rose at an annualized pace of 4.7% in the second-quarter, and retail sales excluding vehicle and gas station sales rose at a 6.3% annual pace. Taken altogether, the data suggests to Varghese that the US economic growth reaccelerated over the past year.
Persons: Carson Group's Sonu Varghese, Carson, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, it's Organizations: Carson, Federal Locations: Atlanta
An expansion of the criteria for medically assisted death that comes into force in March 2024 will allow Canadians like Pauli, whose sole underlying condition is mental illness, to choose medically assisted death. In 2021, the most recent year available, 10,064 people died through medically assisted death, about 3.3% of deaths in Canada that year. Dembo served on an expert panel on assisted death and mental illness that presented a report to Canada's parliament last year. loadingThe reported cases of people resorting to medically assisted death in part due to lack of supports are "tragic," Lametti said. "It does in one sense [represent a slippery slope], doesn't it, because it started off with terminal illness and it's ended up with non-terminal illness and mental illness."
Persons: Lisa Pauli, Pauli, I've, David Lametti, Lametti, It's, Marie, Claude Lacasse, Georges L'Esperance, Sarah Dobec, Justine Dembo, Dembo, She's, Mary Heatley, , Heatley, Sonu Gaind, Michelle Hewitt, Hewitt, Sean Tagert, Lou Gehrig's, Tagert's, Sean, Charles Falconer, it's, Anna Mehler Paperny, Denny Thomas, Suzanne Goldenberg Organizations: TORONTO, Reuters, Health, Quebec Association for, Canada, Health Sciences Centre, Labour, Thomson Locations: Canada, Netherlands, Belgium, Provinces, Quebec, British Columbia, Ontario, Health Canada, Canadian, Britain
Recent strength in the housing market suggests the US economy may have dodged a recession, according to Carson Group. Housing starts surged nearly 22% in May while building permits also rose, indicating builders are confident about demand. "Housing historically bottomed prior to the end of a recession and has typically led the economy out of one." That's a big deal because weakness — not strength — in housing starts data has historically foreshadowed recessions. Housing starts measure the groundbreaking of a foundation and precedes sales of new homes as well as spending on home goods and appliances.
Persons: , Sonu Varghese, They're, Varghese Organizations: Carson Group, Housing, Service
The move makes sense, given Russia's growing status as a pariah state, but it also highlights a push to unseat the dollar as a dominant force in global trade. But to strategists at the Carson Group, a scenario where the dollar isn't the world's primary reserve currency simply isn't in the cards in the near future. Are you convinced that the dollar won't lose its status as a dominant global reserve currency? Some companies in this batch of oil stocks have upsides of up to 180%, according to strategists at Bank of America. An expert from the World Gold Council pointed out that history says gold performs well in a recession.
watch nowIndia's largest insurer says it "might" review its stake in the embattled Adani Group after meeting with the management. "We propose to speak to them about this ... just to try and understand what's really happening within the organization, within the Adani group." In a further blow, global index provider MSCI last week said it will cut the weightings of some Adani Group businesses, including flagship firm Adani Enterprises. Still, the LIC chairman said the national insurer isn't too concerned about the conglomerate's high debt levels or the recent volatility in Adani's share price. Adani falloutThe Adani fallout has raised concerns about the group's exposure to India's leading banks and insurers.
Prakash Singh/AFP/Getty ImagesThe recommendation to free the men was made by an advisory panel appointed by the Gujarat government, led by Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Some lawmakers and activists have petitioned the Supreme Court for the men to be rearrested. Some saw the assailants’ release as a deliberate pitch for votes from BJP supporters ahead of the Gujarat state election. The couple want the decision reversed, as do those who have filed petitions with the Supreme Court. “We strongly believe that what happened with Bilkis was wrong and the convicts should be sent back to jail,” he said.
Mortgage rates have been rising rapidly over the past couple of months, but they've shown signs of calming this week. But as markets settle in around the expectation of more hikes, mortgage rates should hold steady for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates could still trend up a bit from their current levels, but they likely won't go much higher. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage calculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and have increased significantly so far in 2022.
Like a rate-and-term refinance, a cash-out refinance replaces your current mortgage with a new loan. You decide to get a cash-out refinance for the full amount you can borrow, which is $240,000 (or 80% of $300,000). Does it ever make sense to take on a higher rate to get a cash-out refinance? Cash-out refinance alternativesA cash-out refinance isn't the only way to take equity out of your home. Getting a cash-out refinance when mortgage rates are high typically doesn't make sense for most borrowers who are already locked into lower rates.
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